This is why I think JE wins. Sangrita is the speed of the race and she is stretching out to 1 1/8 miles from a 6f and 1 mile race. I believe she has sprinter speed oppose to horses like Sea Siren, Cryptoquip and Summerly who have route speed. Now I believe that those 3 horses will put enough pressure on Sangrita to force to go faster than what she wants. I believe the fractions will be around :46 1:10 and that is too fast for this race. I believe that JE will get a perfect trip behind the top 5 leaders while being either on the rail or in the 2 path. This is her 2nd off a layoff and she ran a nice 2nd to Sangrita last time out. She was bumped at the 3/16ths pole and went 5 wide and only lost by 2. I think she is set up perfectly for a nice performance. Now I dont think she is the best horse in the race and we all know the best horse doesnt always win....but given how I think the race will play out and how she will improve from her last start equals a win for me. I will play my usual 100 Across on her.