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Originally Posted by Bogey
Sightseek, I just watched the replay again to refresh my memory and although he was visually impressive, the truth is that the others went quick up front and folded like a cheap suit. It took him 7 starts to break his maiden at 26-1. I would be surprised if he was able to duplicate that effort. Maybe underneath to pick up the pieces.
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Pawnee intrigues me, I think he'll hit the tri. The seven starts give him a good foundation and he already has a win at the distance which no one else in the field can claim. Big discrepancy between the Beyer and equibase figure last race as well, he got a 74 Beyer and a 94 equibase which are usually only about ten points higher than the Beyers. I often find value by comparing them. If you find the cases that Beyer questionably split a variant you can get great value since so many are betting the Beyers. If you treat it like an 84 Beyer and factor in ground loss last out he could factor in at a price.