Quote:
Originally Posted by parsixfarms
The law of unintended consequences at work.
With this filly owned by Rachel Alexandra's connections, Churchill may have just blown the biggest story of Derby week (not that I would personally like Dreaming of Julia in the Derby).
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Yeah. It just was extremely poorly devised and thought out.
The pace dynamics aren't any easier for Dreaming Of Julia in the Kentucky Oaks either. Beholder and Midnight Lucky are very fast, and she's going to have to run hard to stalk them, and obviously she'll make the first move at them.
I'd much rather see her in the Oaks because her presence will destroy the chances of both Beholder and Midnight Lucky ... and they are so fast and free-running, that any colt would pay a heavy price trying to stalk and pounce into them...the same is true even for Dreaming of Julia.
Still, she's the fastest 3yo router in America on everyones numbers.
She ran 11 lengths faster than Orb at the same day and same distance.
She ran 16 lengths faster than perfect trip Merit Man, at the same day, and same distance ... and he gets 20 points for outfinishing a 100/1 pace rival for 3rd.
Under the old system, I suspect Pletcher would probably only run her in the Derby if Verrezano isn't on top of his game or gets sidelined.
Still, she obviously has way more right to competing in the race than a Merit Man or the 2nd place finisher in the Sunland Derby who got crushed by a recent maiden winner.