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Originally Posted by Antitrust32
you cant trust any polls which are 1 - 3 % points difference. Doesnt matter if Romney is ahead by 1-3% or Obama is ahead by 1-3%. most of these swing states are completely up in the air. It's game on at this point.
Obama's good job of getting the right help and funds signed off for this crazy storm. it's certainly not going to hurt him.
I dont think anyone should be confident that their candidate is going to win at this moment. I think its going to be extremely close like 2000 was.
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You trust polls that are good and reliable, and you weigh less polls that are poorly done. Everyone (poll geeks) know who those are.
Why do you think Nate Silver has been attacked publicly as "gay" and "effeminent" by conservatives in the past three days? He's accurate and he has Obama easily winning, and the only reaction from some on the right is to throw homophobic slurs because they are mentally five years old.
The popular vote doesn't matter, although I think Obama will easily win that with 51% of the vote.
The electoral vote is the only thing that matters. Obama started out so far ahead, months ago, that Romney would have had to virtually sweep 8 swing states to win.
It was never in the cards for that to happen. Romney had a massive uphill battle from the start, and they knew that.
Obama only needed to win 2 swing states from the start. Now he's ahead in all but NC, as he nearly always has been.
Romney has never been close to 270, always behind. Obama was always ahead, only having to not lose many.
The election was over months ago, Anti. I'm not saying that because I'm voting for Obama, I'm saying that as someone who has watched politics closely for years.
We'll see Tuesday. But seriously - the narrative in the media about how close this is, "neck and neck", is very puzzling, given the polling over the past two months. I think they are just trying to make a horse race story out of it.