Quote:
Originally Posted by Riot
Oh, my, we need all you guys to take your election predictions to the contest thread  |
I don't know who is going to win but it will definitely be closer than you think. If it was as big of a cinch as you think, Obama would be a 1-9 favorite. The posted odds right now of the republicans keeping control of the House of Representatives is a 95% chance (aka 1-20). Now that is a heavy favorite. If someone has a very strong expectation of that happening, that would be warranted.
Obama is far from a lock. The race is very still tight. If the betting lines are right and he has around a 64% chance of winning, that is a solid favorite but it is far from a lock.
If Obama does win, the one good thing is that we won't have to worry about riots. If Romney wins, I guarantee there will be riots. I have no idea what the extent will be but I guarantee there will at least be some civil unrest. People are already threatening it on Twitter. If people riot after a championship basketball game, they will certainly riot if their man loses the Presidency.