Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord
Romney has no chance without Ohio.
Iowa borders Illinois. Obama is undefeated in Iowa -- he pulled a major upset of Hilliary Clinton in the primary there. He owes his entire presidency to Iowa.
Romney is 0-for-2 and Iowa and couldn't even beat Rick Santorum there in the primary even though he outspent him by like $10,000 to $1.
The only way Romney gets Iowa, WI, and NV is if he breaks the whole entire thing open...and if he does that, he will win Ohio as well.
If you don't win Ohio -- you don't win the election. Same for either guy.
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When the poll is averaged along with other polling data from the state collected by Real Clear Politics, it shows Obama with 48.6 percent of likely voters to Romney's 47.2 percent margin.
Rasmussen has it dead even at 48%:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ...iowa_president
Iowa is very much in play, and similar margins have closed in the other left leaning states.
Time zone exit poling will have much more of an effect in NV, but the numbers don't jive - OH can go to Obama and he can still lose the Electoral College
Obama won Iowa by a 9.5 percent margin in 2008 against John McCain.