Quote:
Originally Posted by pointman
He is not ahead in real polls. It doesn't matter anyway, Jimmy Carter was 9 points ahead of Reagen at this point and we all know how well that went for Carter.
|
Wrong. This information is taken from Talking Points Memo "Pollwatcher", where they individually list and then synthesize all professional polling information.
Very well-respected and the "go to" place for accurate professional polling. So your attempt to "dismiss the source" of the polling information out of hand is not valid.
I agree with you, polls change, and sometimes very markedly. But here's where Romney is today, losing 11 of 13 swing states.
With the Ryan pick against the advice of his advisors, Romney has now lost the electoral votes of Florida.
Please show a path you think Romney can take in these swing states, which ones electoral votes he can win, how many votes that will be, that will give Romney a path to 270 electoral votes.
Because right now,
without the 13 swing states, Romney has only 190.
Add in Missouri (10 electoral votes) and North Carolina (15 electoral votes) which gives Romney a total of
215 electoral votes today.
- then tell me what other of the remaining 11 swing states he'll be able to win to get to 270 electoral votes.
Romney will have to get another 55 electoral votes out of the 11 remaining swing states. Which ones can he win to get those 55 electorals? Especially if he doesn't get the 29 from Florida, and they go to Obama?
Here's the 2012 electoral vote availabilty map:
