Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig
you can ring your hands?! that is amazing. i bet it gets annoying tho.
seriously tho, all spelling bashing aside...
the odds are simply not in i'll have anothers favor. better horses than him have gotten to this point, and something has happened....whether a better horse emerged, or a better trip, a better ride, or better luck. a lose shoe, a horse who loved the belmont surface, a bad ride, a safety pin...the list goes on and on. 11 horses since affirmed have gotten thru both derby and preakness only to come up short, by a whisker or a mile, in this race.
now, does all that affect iha's chances in this race? no. but the toll of three races in five weeks, the extra quarter mile, the fresh shooters, etc cannot be ignored.
is he the best horse? maybe. but maybe he's not. maybe he got right at the right time. maybe now he slides, maybe now he loses a step. or maybe not.
there isn't one person out there hoping he loses. but many are too wary to say he will surely win.
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At least you have a theory that applies to the horses running this year,as far as three races in 5 weeks,maybe,but the only"new shooter"that Beyers anywhere close is Paynter and Dullahand,which IHA has defeated both by lengths and I think he'll improve with the added distance!
My real complaint is about the "Mixed"handicapping method of using currant data and anecdotal data from the past to try and predict how to wager ond make some money on this race.
I want everybody to stop couching there comments and predictions with there emotions and base there handicapping on tried and true methods
