
04-30-2012, 07:51 PM
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Gulfstream Park
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Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Russellville, KY
Posts: 1,242
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tywizard
Is anyone else finding it impossible to construct a cost-effective tickets for tris and supers? I may limit to exactas and then try the Pick 3/4 with 4-5 of my top selections....
Steve - You mention looking over the past few Derby charts...I've looked at the past 10 PPs for the Derby and tried to compare relative to eventual outcome. I've noticed the following:
1. This group is unlike any group in the past 10 years....or any year that I can remember to be exact. Each of them seem to primed for a top performance.
2. I've posted this before elsewhere, the past five winners have been setup so that the Derby is third off the bench. With that in mind, this angle fits seven horses: Trinniberg, Done Talking, Daddy Nose Best, Sabercat, Dullahan, Gemologist and Union Rags.
Daddy Nose Best, Sabercat and Union Rags all appear to be training well at CD....Gemologist is undefeated and has two wins at the track...Dullahan seems plausible...Done Talking is logical underneath and Trinniberg is a toss.
I'm scared of Bodemiester not being on that list, but I'm thinking about using 5 of the seven above in the multi's.
Thoughts?
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I will not have Bodemeister on any of my tickets. He has progressed for 4 straight races; I think he is due to regress in the Derby, even though he did work lights out and looked good on Sunday.
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