I mainly look for 3 things when I claim - conditions, conditions, conditions. If the horse you mention has state bred conditions available, and has been knocking heads in open company, then they have a good chance to see success.
One comment about Midwest TB's - I think a lot of their "success" comes from the sheer numbers in which they claim horses. In MD, I see them taking a lot of $5k horses with date conditions (nw in 6 mos) and when they knock out the condition next time out, it's hard to find the horse again after that. While they win a lot of races, I wonder how many of their claims they don't see a return of their purchase money on. Their numbers on paper are rather gaudy but I'd love the see their balance sheet....
Oh, and I must say that their green silks sure look nice in my win photos.
