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Originally Posted by almar3t
Remember back at the Derby and the detractors of Brother Derek pointed out that facing 4-5 horse fields and leading the whole way would hurt a horse facing a field of 20 where rating experience is a plus? Remember how a horse running in front by himself winning by hugh lenghts creates a high Beyer number(Bellamy Road anyone?). I just kept thinking this was the same sceneiro for Bernadini coming into the classic. Facing tough older campaigners and with legimate speed in the race would be his real test. I felt the Preakness wasn't a real test because the Derby had sapped most of the field and of course the breakdown of Barbaro changed the complexion of that race. Bernadini ran a good race but running against 4 horse fields came home to roost with the experience of Invasor winning the day.
almar3t
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Great points Almar. If you bet value, like I do, and wanted no piece of a 4-5 favorite, it was time to bet Invasor with two hands. Bernardini was vunerable today on all the fronts you made points of, and the logical choice at the premium value was definately Invasor.