My belief is it's common for many horses to run fast races then slow then fast and that is not wheat i dfine as a bounce.
My definition is after a long (3+ month) layoff, and a horse runs an up close (less than one length ahead or behind) most of the way around the track, then has a bad race--that's a bounce.
A good angle is to rate the horse off the comeback race in his third start after the layoff. It's called the Back Bounce Back pattern or BBB.
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