Indy Dancer was 14-to-1 to win the Kentucky Derby in the 1st future pool...even though he didn't have enough early speed to keep contact with fields in below par maiden and alw routes...and was untested against decent horses after just two career races.
These are the kind a lot of people fall in love with because they are sure they will "get the distance"
He was even 8-to-1 in the Wood Memorial against Empire Maker and Funny Cide after back to back double digit length beatdowns by Badge Of Silver and Empire Maker.
A horse like War Emblem -- they tried to rate him and he wouldn't rate. So they took him to Sportsmans Park for an alw race, took him off the triple crown trial, and just let him go to the lead. He crushed the Sportsman Park alw horses, upset Repent in the Illi Derby, and wired the KY Derby.