There is a lot to like about Too Much Bling. He's 3-4 in races under 7f. He can battle for the lead through quick fractions (1st by a head in 21 3/5 in the San Vicente....2nd by a head in 44 in the Carry Back) or he can sit behind the speed and rate (nearly three back after a 43 4/5 half in the San Miguel). And I know Baffert usually works them fast but among his last five works, he shows a 1:11 2/5, a 57 flag (gate), and a 1:10 2/5 (gate). This horse is set to give his best and has to be included in the exotics. Also, it's worth noting that when he and Henny Hughes faced each other in the Hopeful last year, they were in a virtual deadlock at the 6f mark of that 7f race. There are a lot of positives with him. The negative is of course the layoff. Also, u have to wonder which style they are going to employ here. Do they gun for the lead since he has 21 3/5 type speed? What happens though when they do that and horses like Bordonaro and Thor's Echo are right there with him? That will be different than battling head and head with the cheap horses he has been battling. And if they try to rate, again, u know that Bordonaro is not going to be coming back to him in the lane. He'll have to go get him and I don't know if he's going to outkick Henny Hughes, Pomeroy, and Siren Lure. I'd feel better if he was the fastest of the speed and I knew he was the one to catch or if I knew he was the best closer in the field. But he's neither and I think it's all going to add up to him just not being good enough to win this.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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