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Originally Posted by hi_im_god
iowa chose george bush in 2000 and 2004 and barak obama in 2008. 3 for 3 recently.
and 8/14 isn't all that bad when you have to go first.
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You're right. I'm thinking of the Ames Straw Poll (which chose, for example, Bachmann this year), not the Caucus.
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i like iowa and new hampshire. they're completely unrepresentative but you can't have retail politics in big states. they're the only places you'll see anything close to a local election where the candidates have to actually go out and meet people.
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Ditto. I'm thinking that Ron Paul and Santorum may be the big winners, with Romney third, and Bachmann, Perry and Gingrich out of it. Gringrich is already whining today about his loss.
Obama was really good at retail, as was Hillary and Palin. McCain was terrible. Romney is ... creepy. He just is weird, the way he tries to "interact". Paul and Bachmann play to their audience who views them as rock stars. Santorum has worked hard, and it's paying off in the last-minute "not Romney" panic, he's got his moment in the sun finally, and it's timed right. Gingrich has turned into the angry old man on the book tour who thought he was getting the big freebee he thinks he deserves, but it was taken away.