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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Watchmaker's line has ZERO to do with his opinion of the race. It is his opinion of how these horses will be bet. Do you honestly think he is off on how these horses will be bet? Personally, I think he may be wrong about Aragorn, in that he will be a bit higher, but I have a hard time disagreeing with the relative differential. I am not saying at 7 or 8 times the price that Silent Name MAY not be a better bet.
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I know it's not his opinion of the race but yes, I think he's off on how they will be bet. I don't think they difference will be that high. I think maybe 5/1 to 20/1 would be more likely, so four times the price instead of 7.5 times the price.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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