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Old 11-11-2011, 07:22 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,991
Default 11/11: Aqueduct ($188k C/O)

Took beat in first leg of AQU P6 before hooking winners together thereafter for $420 P4 and nice string of P3's. Hope everryone got a little something Thursday... $188k triple carry for Friday in New York, while Golden Gate's sextet jackpot soared to $335k and HollyPark has one for $40k!


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: OC/N3L, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Boys at Toscanova likely tighter now, but this isn't a pack of marshmallows..

Best Value: #3 Hillswick 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Boys at Toscanova 4-5 WON ($2.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Starforaday 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Leave of Absence 4-1 4th


4th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$188k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #8 Count Catamount 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Almoradi 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Ever a Friend 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Dr. W 15-1 9th


5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Perfect Drive 6-5 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #1 Unbridled Danger 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Leap Day 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Digger Karakorum 6-1 2nd


6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Glacier Bay 2-1 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #5 Mutiny 6-1 11th
Next Best: #4 Kid Curry 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Gamblin Fever 12-1 8th


7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Not sure this is as open and shut as you'd be led to believe with Sneaky Girl 0/5 at a mile. Could improving Necessary Luxury or one dimensional She's My Image get loose as lone speed?

Most Likely: #8 Sneaky Girl 7-5 5th
Next Best: #7 There Goes Molly 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Air Mail 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Wise Choice 10-1 2nd


8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 7f (DD, Super)

Quirky, difficult group with many exiting career bests that make them eligible for step back. No shortage of speed signed on here too..

Most Likely: #4 Associate 2-1 WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #5 Bert B Don 6-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Pistols at Dawn 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 SCR


9th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 8.5f-T (Super)

Brutally tough finish to sequence with plethora of turf pedigreed juvies involved..

Best Value: #8 Plausibly 12-1 10th
Next Best: #3 Jetameno 6-1 11th
Exotics Use: #10 Balance the Budget 8-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Two Seventeen 8-1 6th


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 3-8
5: 2
6: 3-5
7: 8
8: 4-5-8
9: 2-3-8-10-12

2x1x2x1x3x5 = 60 x $2 = $120


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-5
7: 3-7-8
8: 4-5-8
9: 2-3-5-8-9-10-11-12

2x3x3x8 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 11-11-2011 at 06:16 PM.
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