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Originally Posted by Bystander
Commentator is the only one of those three Zito horses who has run or had success at CD before, winning an allowance there in 04 (discounting Sun King's Derby.) Not saying others' reasoning is-ugh- unsound, but that may be why...
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This makes a lot of sense. Look any horse, such as Commentator, who didn't debut until August of his 3YO year, and has since made 11 starts in 27 months clearly has issues. I would guess it is some combination of what most people have surmised in this thread.
I'll say this about Commentator, and obviously I am biased and will be rooting for him for personal reasons, while he is hard to bet in this race, and trouble at the start or not last time, his ability to rate is dramatically in question, he has a couple of races under his belt that would blow this field apart. Do I honestly think he will win? Not really. However, at the 15-1ish he will be, I think it is fair to say he is one horse in this race who's actual chances of winning exceed his odds. He is very much the forgotten horse.