Quote:
Originally Posted by pweizer
This is very interesting, thanks for sharing. Just curious, but why are you against Turbulent Decent? The price will be short and I can see looking for value, but I don't see much wrong with what she has done this year.
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She hasn't done much wrong this year -- but she's hardly much (if any) better than say a Champagne D' Oro was as a 3yo last year. Looking over her season...
She failed to crack a 90 Beyer in both of her two SA races this winter. She beat an attrocious field in the Beaumont in a race she couldn't lose on paper. They made her 3/5 in the Acorn and she was no match for It's Tricky. Her Test win was good .. but she got a textbook perfect trip --- and though she was wide that day... Thoro-Graph had that as a dead-rail day.
TD has never faced older horses -- I don't mind the fact that she's been laid up since August .. but it tells you her connections think her one real good figure in the Test might have took something out of her. When I go race-for-race on established form -- Switch is a better horse IMO. There are a lot of others in there who TD is close with who are 20/1 or so on the ML. I will hope the rest wasn't what the doctor ordered.