10/30: Churchill Downs (Opening Day; 4th-11th)
Great finish Saturday at Keeneland taking last P4 of the meet for $635 and a few assorted supporting hits. Less successful at Santa Anita where one winner took down the whole P6 pool. Opening Day at Churchill and it's been a busy day already starting with workouts at 5:45a. Thoughts on the last 2/3rds of the card below... ATR Breeders' Cup Week broadcasts continue Monday live from Louisville!
CHURCHILL DOWNS
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #8 Sky High Lady 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Ocean Bertie 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Dancing Solo 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Song of Bernadette 15-1 7th
5th: OC/N1X, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #3 Amie's Dini 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Swift Artist 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Monono 8-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Quick Silver Song 5-1 6th
6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #9 Wharton 6-1 WON ($8.00)
Next Best: #10 Catfidential 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Street Fight 8-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Reason to be Proud 8-1 10th
7th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #7 Santonio d'Oro 5-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Super Saturday 8-5 6th
Exotics Use: #13 Seve 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Le Chevalier 20-1 10th
<$75 P4 Play:
4: 1-4-8-9
5: 3-4-7
6: 6-8-9-10
7: 4-7-13
4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
8th: 30th Iroquois (G3), 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #7 Mr. Bowling 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 Seven Lively Sins 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Hollywood Script 10-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Motor City 3-1 WON ($8.20)
9th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #11 Sherp 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Tarpy's Goal 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Brown Eyed Jozi 5-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Angel's Tune 4-1 5th
10th: 43rd Pocahontas (G2), 2yo-F, 1m (DD, Super)
Tremendous betting race..
Best Value: #4 On Fire Baby 12-1 WON ($20.20)
Next Best: #11 Heart of Destiny 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #8 Believe You Can 5-1 6th
Super Add: #12 Golden History 20-1 5th
11th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)
Best Value: #6 Flame Run 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Delightful Magic 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Make a Toast 12-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Please Be Discreet 12-1 12th
Hi-5 Play: #10 Money Madness 6-1 11th
<$100 P5 Play:
7: 4-7-13
8: 7
9: 10-11
10: 4-8-11-12
11: 1-2-6-11
3x1x2x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
<$75 P4 Play:
8: 2-6-7
9: 8-10-11
10: 4-8-11-12
11: 1-2-6-11
3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-30-2011 at 07:06 PM.
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