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Old 10-08-2011, 05:28 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,968
Default 10/8: Belmont Park (4th-10th); Keeneland (2nd-10th)

KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Inny Minnie 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #5 Harmony Hills 6-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Tapajo 7-2 6th
Super Add: #6 Callmenancy 8-1 3rd


3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Odds On 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Mobilizer 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Al Muhtasib 3-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Ioya Bigtime 6-1 WON ($13.80)


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Trading Paint 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Annaclone 5-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Coasting 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Cypress Point 15-1 6th


5th: 15th Woodford (G3), 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Typically wide open lawn dash..

Best Value: #2 Country Day 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Great Attack 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Streakin Mohican 8-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Havelock 12-1 WON ($12.40)


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-5-6-7
3: 1-2-3-4
4: 3-4
5: 2-3-4-5

4x4x2x4 = 128 x .50 = $64


6th: 31st TCA (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Switch 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 Dances With Ashley 15-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Shotgun Gulch 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Devil by Design 12-1 9th


7th: First Lady (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Terrific group..

Most Likely: #12 Never Retreat 6-1 WON ($10.00)
Best Value: #1 Bay to Bay 12-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Wasted Tears 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 C. S. Silk 8-1 7th


8th: 98th Breeders' Futurity (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Shared Property 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Motor City 15-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Majestic City 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Take Charge Indy 5-1 4th


9th: Shadwell Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Wise Dan 15-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Zoffany 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Gio Ponti 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #3 Dance And Dance 8-1 7th


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-6-9-10
7: ALL
8: 7
9: 4-7

4x12x1x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


10th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #9 Lady Aspen 12-1 DNF
Exotics Use: #3 Miss Woods 15-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Enchante 3-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Corleone 5-2 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #7 Royal Order 15-1 6th


<$75 P5 Play:

6: 10
7: 1-8-12
8: 4-5-7-8
9: 4-5-7
10: 2-3-4-9

1x3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-6-7-8-9-12
8: 4-7
9: 4-7
10: 2-3-4-7-9

7x2x2x5 = 140 x .50 = $70



BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Superb betting race with price play Mutiny (15-1) making ideal key..

Best Value: #3 Mutiny 15-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Kid Curry 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Hanson Heights 4-1 7th
Super Add: #11 Djokovic 12-1 3rd

.10 SUPER: Key 3 in 1st/2nd with 2-5-7-11-16 (1x5x4x3 + 5x1x4x3 = 60 + 60 = 120 x .10 = $12.00)


5th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Very intriguing MDN event here with Dendrite (20-1) and Rock Harder exiting 9/17 affair that is sending Pletcher/Repole's Our Entourage to today's Breeders' Futurity and Motion/West Point's Gold Megillah to Sunday's Bourbon. Additionally, Punctual Jeff (4-1) and Super Saturday (6-1) ran behind Kitten's Kid (2nd in Pilgrim last week) on 9/3, and Two Months Rent (7-2) has chased both State of Play (With Anticipation winner) and Optimizer (Breeders' Futurity). All, as well as firster Star Channel (10-1 and half to MSW on turf Changing World) can win this..

Best Value: #2 Rock Harder 6-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Super Saturday 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Punctual Jeff 4-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Star Channel 10-1 10th


6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Miraculum 15-1 12th
Next Best: #8 Lemons to Lemonade 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Ready Love 3-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Sasta Go Lucky 6-1 4th


7th: 62nd Jamaica H. (G1), 3yo, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Race will come down to trip as any are possible with favorites solid but unimposing..

Best Value: #5 Western Aristocrat 10-1 WON ($16.00)
Next Best: #6 Brilliant Speed 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Wilkinson 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Casino Host 2-1 6th


8th: 64th Frizette (G1), 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Top pair seem to have rest of group over a barrel..

Most Likely: #1 My Miss Aurelia 7-5 WON ($6.50)
Next Best: #3 Stopshoppingmaria 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Spare Change 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Miss Netta 8-1 3rd


9th: 140th Champagne (G1), 2yo, 1m (DD, Super)

Again, top pair (Alpha, Union Rags) seem very solid into this, but next 3-4 including overlaid Invocation (20-1) are not without chance..

Most Likely: #5 Alpha 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Invocation 20-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Union Rags 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Power World 8-1 7th

.10 SUPER: 5-6-8 with 5-6-8 with 3-4-5-6-7-8 with ALL = 3x2x4x5 = 120 x .10 = $12.00

.10 Super (6-5-7-3) Paid $15.00


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (Super)

Best Value: #7 Toccet's Image 12-1 11th
Next Best: #2 Twojohnsandajack 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Ocean Seven 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Fore Pals 15-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-4-5-6-8
8: 1-3
9: 5-6-8
10: 2-4-7-10

6x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-09-2011 at 09:09 AM.
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