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Originally Posted by King Glorious
Well, nobody else has to do it but I feel like it's sort of a way of finding out who's just typing things to be "heard" and who really believes what they are saying. He seems to think I'm so stupid in the way that I think and that I only say half the things I say because there is nothing to lose by typing crazy on a forum. Even though it's not really a loss, I still will feel some of the hurt he asked me about if I can't type on here. So I'm willing to back my convictions in this way. Just curious to see if anyone else is. Some people on here seem to think they are so much better at figuring this game out than everyone else. We all know that basically any so called "system" anyone uses, we still pretty much all come out with a winning % between 30-40%. Most of us are right around the 35% and it just pisses me off when some people post their opinions and others tell them how insane they are, as if they are so much more professional. So I want to see who will put up or shut up.
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You don't understand what I am trying to say. What I was trying to say to you was that if you were forced to bet REAL money, a sum that hurts you to lose, on some of these opinions that you would learn to think differently. It is a subtle but important difference.
I'll give you a reasonable example. When I used to play the horses I bet a lot of trainer angles and was constantly taking off the wall shots. Yeah, I occasionally these hit and felt really smart, but when I started playing full time I very quickly realized these horses were losers for two specific reasons. One was very simply that they did not pay off over time but the other was far more important, playing these horses often made me overlook logical winners and I was missing out on opportunities to really make money.
The point is I only really learned this because I was making a serious attempt to make money at the track and, in fact, my livelihood depended on that. Kibbitzing wacky ideas is one thing, but pretending they make sense in a very real sense is quite another, and that is the distinction I was trying to make. Yeah, it might be " cool " if trainers took off-the-wall shots with these BC horses, and it might make some of the races more " fun " for some us, but it makes absolutely no real world sense.