I don't know if it's a much greater chance but I do agree that BL has a better chance to win the Pacific Classic. Of the two camps, Porter has been much more vocal about his desire to not only win a divisional championship but also HOY. With that in mind, if he had gone in the Personal Ensign while BL won the Pacific Classic, he would have been further behind. A loss in the Personall Ensign would have really hurt.
It feels like a chess move and Porter was taking an offensive move rather than defensive. I like it.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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