This current Presque Isle Downs meet is an all-time great example of a race meet with the most optimal betting conditons and circumstances a bettor could ever dream of having.
Especially with all the extreme peculiarities involved with the racing surface that greatly favor those who understand it and would totally undermine anyone who doesn't.
My top pick in the paper is 125-for-432 (28.94% wins) with - considering the sample size - a borderline impossible 19.61% profit per every dollar bet.
Even if you remove two top pick winners that paid $65.20 and $76.20 - you're still showing a strong profit.
And the cold exacta stats would be inflated through the roof - partly because the exacta was completed in both instances when the $65.20 and $76.20 horse won.
Because of the weak betting pools on all but Tuesday's - and the high exotic wagering takeout - you can't make a great deal of money no matter how sensational the stats are.
Do that in New York, California, or Kentucky - and you're making incredible money.
I've seen days where a high-action PID race will handle as much or more money on BetFair as will one of the days lowest action races at Saratoga or Del Mar.
It's a sad situation.
|