I think you guys are all sort of right. Yes, she did improve and based on Kiaran's numbers coming back and the field she beat last time was tough to bet.
But, she didn't exactly have to beat much in the race and didn't run that well. It's not like the 2-3 finishers are very good and she was able to get a perfect trip off the other contenders who dueled. Not a playable horse IMO, but also not totally out of the ordinary either.
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