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Originally Posted by avance2000
this is the best advice. on big days like derby day and bc day a lot of people start looking for crazy angles and/or start betting differently than they typically do. in my opinion, that is stupid.
go with what you do best.
if you like wins and pick 3's....play them, and try to cap it like you always would.
it can be a good day for beating favorites....but don't get too caught up in this either. sometimes bc races have so many good horses in them that the favorite you are trying to beat is a genuine superstar sitting on the board at 7/2. would you ignore that on any other day of the year? of course not....so it isn't wise to do it on this day either.
also, while it is important to bet this day like any other day, you should remember not to watch it like any other day. for example, if you decide to bet against bernardini in the classic and he draws off to win by 10....don't be so pissed about your bet that you forget to appreciate what you just saw.
last piece of advice. like any other day your goal should be to make money. sounds obvious right? but a lot of people....especially on these big days.....are so intent on turning their $200 into $10,000 that they end up turning it into $0. If you turn your $200 into $250.....you had a great day in my book.
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that was fine fine advice. i agree with all of that.
also keep in mind that show bets somehow become profitable on this day. you can easily double your money on show bets, even when the favorite runs in -- it's like the derby where all those prices go up. stacked wps bets have been good to me in the past, something like $5 win, $10 place, $20 show. even if your horse shows, you're going to show a profit.