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Old 02-21-2011, 07:51 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jwkniska View Post

Thanks for posting that!

I checked the 46 prices for Field on top and Uncle Mo on top. They were identical to my screen shot, except for a $1 difference in the Field/DecisiveMoment exacta. ($583 on my screensave, $584 on the link.)

I also checked the 23 exactas with the #1 on top. Most were the same, but there were a few $1-$2 differences, which is tiny for will-pays in the thousands.

If there was really a $22K difference in the amount in the pool between my screen save after the end of betting and the official final figs, there would have been lots of significant individual exacta price differences between my screen save and the numbers in the link. It's really hard to understand what kind of error would explain the discrepancy in pool size.

In other words, the individual exacta prices I captured at the end of betting seem to be accurate to within $1-$2, but there was a $22K discrepancy in the total pool size. You would think they'd have to have an accurate estimate of the total exacta pool in order to calculate the will-pays. But somehow the will-pays were accurate anyway.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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