Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
If they made a profit on the race - I doubt they'll feel like the result proved them wrong.
Either way - she was a VERY poor even money shot who happened to run fine.
You have to bet against even money shots who are wildcards. The bookies in Europe almost got smoked at 7/2 on her .. but I'm not so sure 7/2 is even a fair price on a wildcard.
If you go by results - even the very best handicappers and bettors are going to be proven wrong A LOT. They're flesh and blood animals with a human on their back. If a horse improves one second over the distance of a mile - that's six lengths. Most races are so closely matched that the way they're run will ultimately determine who wins.
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I do agree with you that she was a very poor even-money shot. I would have made her the favorite but I made her about 5-2 or 3-1.