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Old 11-01-2010, 03:36 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
Why does everyone look like an overlay, even Z?
Im guessing Z is around 2-1 at post time. Blame and Lucky anywhere from 3-1 to 5-1, but not 7-1. And QR anywhere from 5-1 to 8-1.
Partly because Pinnacle's odds are like a 14% takeout, compared to the 16% at CD, and partly because we don't know for sure which 14 of those 16 horses are going to go.

Also, as robfla suggested, we're used to smaller fields in which the money is more concentrated on a few horses.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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