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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
How would she be 3/1 fair value?
Who would be your fair value favorite? Life At Ten? Blind Luck? Havre De Grace?
More importantly - if they came out before the race and said they were sending with RA - who would be willing to go with her on the lead? Life At Ten already tried that once ... and it resulted in a 79 Beyer for her in her only defeat of the entire year. No one would be stupid enough to hook her. She hasn't been allowed an uncontested easy lead since April of '09. She'd jog.
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She already lost 3 times this year to ones that aren't good enough for this race. Now throw in Blind Luck and a 10+ horse field.
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Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit.
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