Quote:
|
Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
The Mile is on the grass and I don't know if he could run on the grass or not. An individual's genes, breeding, and inheritance should play a role when deciding whether or not to bet a horse that is switching to a new surface for the first time. Take Lawyer Ron for example. He couldn't run very well on turf, and when he switched to dirt, he all of a sudden won six races in a row...Grade II and III stakes races at that. Lawyer Ron is a quality dirt horse, but not a quality turf horse. Discreet Cat could very well be the same way. In fact, with his running style, I really don't think that he would be suited to the turf. I could be wrong though. It wouldn't be the first time nor will it be the last...
|
It's my opinion that the better the horse, the fewer things they need to go their way in order to perform their best. The lesser the horse, the more they need. Lawyer Ron is a good horse. But he's not a great horse. Discreet Cat is potentially a great horse. He can run on any surface. Now whether or not u would want to bet on such a horse in that situation is different. I can understand not betting on him to do something that he has never done while facing the best in the world at the low price that he'll be. But he'd be my selection.
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
|