Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985
But Ntamm and FM both agree with me.
|
All I'm on record for with Dublin is that he didn't get the ideal setup in the Arkansas Derby. I also thought that Noble's Promise got a worse trip than he did in that race.
To say that a horse couldn't close in race that didn't come back does not necessarily imply that he gets it done with a better trip. All it tells you is that he's just not good enough to run against the grain. And that he, like many others, needs 'help' to win. I don't typically play horses like this, as I focus on those that have demonstrated that they can do something positive in a setup that goes against them.
Could he be there in the Derby? Maybe. It could turn out that he gets the absolutely perfect setup -- it could be a layered race and he just happens to make the last run.
In other words, I don't want this horse. I never thought much of him and betting him would be throwing money away. I'd rather bet Rule, who is a proven 'fighter' in a race that is sure to be full of speed than to roll the dice that Dublin is able to get that once in a lifetime setup. Then again, Vale of York got such a trip in the Juvenile, so anything is possible.
