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Originally Posted by parsixfarms
Isn't the explanation here the slow paces in both the Excelsior and the Wood? The final time of both races seemed a little slow for how the track was overall playing yesterday.
Eskendereya was very impressive, especially in comparison to the slow come home time for the Excelsior, but both of these races were contested in the manner that we often see in turf/synthetic races and result in final figures slower than the actual performance may warrant.
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It seems like there was a number of slow paced prep races. Horses like Sidneys Candy, American Lion, Discreetly Mine and others who were aided by slow paces are going to find the going much more difficult at Churchill. Not to take anything away from Eskendereya but in that GP stake, he clearly was aided by a slow pace, and he was close to another slow pace again yesterday. He might win at CD but will probably be overbet.