Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Per the NYRA site, going into today, Davis has 10 winners out of 122 mounts, with an average win payoff of $21.80. So, $244 bet, $218 returned. Add today's $129.50 winner and Jacquie is a SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER betting proposition than Dominguez.
After watching her ride on Western Decisions earlier, after I got done LMFAO, I seriously wondered wtf she was doing riding, as bad as she is.
Well, STATS don't lie.
Good thing I stay on top of relevant things such as this.
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It wasn't the first time that she's ridden a $130 horse to victory.
Even with now multiple victories on 60/1+ longshots - and several wins on horses 20/1 or more ... her career ROI is $1.79 .. she's been riding for all of 1.5 years. It's a value stat - and one in which you can put an odds filter to.
Funny thing - the one jockey who has long been king of this stat you mock is Ramon Dominguez. He showed a significant flat bet profit year after year in turf routes and people would laugh if you suggested he's the best rider in the country.
You think Dominguez has improved any over the last 7 years? Of course he hasn't. Nothing at all has changed. The only thing that has steadily improved has been his reputation with bettors and horseman .. and as that soars you eventually start to get overbet.