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Originally Posted by Kasept
So what do what conclusions can we draw about Gulfstream's two turf courses?
Favorites win only 17 percent of the races run on the inner turf course compared to 45 percent of the races run on the outer turf course. If you are playing horizontal wagers, you better go real deep on the inner turf course races while you should have a better chance of standing alone on the outer turf course.
On the outer turf course, horses that raced on or near the lead did surprisingly well.
On the inner turf course, horses that raced on or near the lead did surprisingly poor.
On the outer turf course, horses that raced in midpack did surprisingly poor.
On the inner turf course, horses that raced in midpack did well.
On the outer turf course, horses that raced far back did well.
On the inner turf course, horses that raced far back did surprisingly well.
On the outer turf course, horses breaking from inside posts did surprisingly poor.
On the outer turf course, horses breaking from outside posts did well
On the inner turf course, there did not appear to be any post position bias.
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I don't know who Dick is but if I'm handicapping like this then I'm really in the wrong game. Then again, anyone just coming into the game sees this model as the way to go and follows it.