I also go with small field sizes with 2 or 3 horses who routinely get beat by many lengths. Preferably, I like to play maiden claimers at Santa Anita where every horse has at least some experience.
I think the more horses you can eliminate for certain, the better chance you have at winning, even if the horse you are playing on top is short odds.
I like to play the "sure thing" on top, and try to put the 3rd or 4th choice in the second slot.
Graded stakes races would be my second choice, as most of the field has consistent form.
The races I stay away from....
-Full field cheap non-maiden claiming races (past the maiden ranks, anyone can win a claiming race....no one ever has consistent form)
-Races where half the field is making their first start (you might as well throw darts)
-5 furlong turf sprints (reminds me too much of quarter horse racing)
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