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Originally Posted by King Glorious
You'll notice that I never once have mentioned how hard she does or doesn't have to work in her races. I think that's a very overblown thing too. That's why I have always been against bringing horses back in "easy" races off of layoffs, as if it's a huge difference to run the 1:36 to beat grade three miles and the 1:35 that the grade one runnners will run. I also do realize that this will be by far her toughest assignment to date. By far. The fact that it's facing males means nothing to me though. Neither does the field size. The added distance is a question mark, although not a big one to me. The talent of the competition is all I'm concerned about. It has nothing to do with the horses she's faced in the past. It has nothing to do with her ears being pricked. It has everything to do with whenever the question is asked, there is always a positive answer and until I see otherwise, I have to believe it will be positive again and I think her best will prove to be too much for any of these (with the possible exception of Rip Van Winkle) to handle. If I'm wrong, it won't be a newsflash to anyone.
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I think she has faced nothing but bad field after bad field. I just dont know how you can envision any kind of romp based off any race shes ever run. She would have to: 1) Improve significantly 2) Have the pace go very fast up front 3) Have all of the other closers not fire for this to be a romp.
Again, not saying she isnt at the very least a contender, and hardly the least likely winner, but I am just very surprised by your strong conviction and the words potential romp being used.
I think this is one of the most interesting Classics in a long time. I also dont see any sort of scenario that would make the pace favorable to the deep closers like Zenyatta. I think its won by a front runner or somebody with very good tactical speed like Einstein.