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Originally Posted by SniperSB23
His Beyers for the three races prior to the Sunshine Millions were 107/107/101 and he'd just finished second to RHT by half a length in the G1 Malibu in his previous effort. Running an 83 Beyer and losing by 14.5 lengths to Musique Toujours the next race is more than a little suspicious in light of his efforts in the JCGC and the Japan Cup Dirt.
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Fair enough. But he did win when he shipped to Northern California.
I would actually hold his NY and Florida races against him more if he lost by 3-5 lengths. Then at least I could come up with a hypothesis that makes sense. I could hypotehsize that O'Neil is cheating in some way and he can't do it on the road and the horse regresses by a few lengths on the road. But the horse lost those races by 15 lengths. Even if O"Neil does have some sort of secret edge in California, it's not going to be something that improves the horse by 15 lengths. In addition, I've never heard that the horse is a really nervous horse or a bad shipper. If I heard that he was a really bad shipper and becomes a nervous wreck when he ships, then that could explain his poor perfomances. But since I've never heard that, I just think the horse was either knocked out and/or hurt at the end of the year last year. I know they said his feet were bothering him. I don't know why he ran so bad in Florida. It could have been anything. I don't know why Saint Liam ran so bad in California.