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Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
He may be over the top but that isnt because he won the Arc. Would he be more likely to win if he had gotten trapped and couldnt have gotten out until too late and ran 3rd? Each loss has its own reasoning. Each year is different, each horse is different, each set of circumstances is different, each training method is different, each horses preferences are different, each turf course is different (except this year of course)...The only thing in common is the name of the races.
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The fact that he won instead of finishing 2nd, 3rd, etc. is basically irrelevant to me when considering his likelihood to be over-the-top so I agree with you there. . . that's obvious. . . BUT it has a significant effect on the value (or lack thereof) that he will offer.