6/26: BEL (P4); CD ($33k C/O); PrM (Stakes/P4)
Fun afternoon of racing at Belmont finished up OK with modest $230 P4 hit that covered the day's investment adequately. On top nightcap winner I've Got Speed also keyed a similar payoff for the $1 Super. Missed the early P4 though, a chalky $50 sequence, when stupidly overlooking the KMc baby Dahlgren Chapel. Hope you did well on a good prequel to another big Friday night of racing with Belmont (Twilight card), Churchill (Night card and $33k C/O), Prairie Meadows (3yo Stakes card) and Hollywood (Late night card) keeping you busy from 3pm-1:30am EST!
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
6th (5:32pm): NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 7.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #3 A Word to the Wise 6-1 5th
Most Likely: #2 Saarlandisourland 5-2 WON
Next Best: #7 World Express 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Lyrical Bobcat 15-1 2nd
7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)
A very difficult group with potential for 'jump-up' horses..
Most Likely: #2 Chinese Whisper 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Hot Pace 8-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Alabama Man 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 Triple Honor 10-1 5th
8th: The Perfect Sting, 3yo-F, 8.5f-IT (DD, Super)
Best Value: #6 Strike the Bell 8-1 2nd
Most Likely: #10 Dynaslew 7-2 5th
Next Best: #2 Dame Ellen 4-1 WON
Super Add: #8 Fast Tigress 5-1 6th
9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (Super)
CANCELLED
Most Likely: #5 Tobruk 5-1
Best Value: #10 Munition 12-1
Next Best: #2 Woodrunner 7-2
Super Add: #7 Puregoodniss 20-1
<$75 P4 Play:
Very challenging sequence..
6: 2-3-7
7: 2-7-10-11
8: 6-10
9: 2-5-10
3x4x2x3 = $72
CHURCHILL DOWNS
PRE-SCRATCHES
4th (7:29pm): ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Fortheboysatthebar 7-2 6th
Best Value: #9 Quiet Alice 9-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Alley Theater 4-1 WON
Super Add: #7 Suz Slew 5-1 5th
5th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 Five Plus Five 7-2 WON
Best Value: #3 Oscar De La Thorn 15-1 8th
Next Best: #5 McTapit 8-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Missaintbehavin 15-1 9th
6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super, Super High 5)
Most Likely: #8 Feminine Flair 5-2 WON
Best Value: #3 Hyper Hannah 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 See the Future 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Turn to Bernstein 4-1 10th
High 5 Play: #7 How Regal 10-1 4th
7th: S/ALW, 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Candid Image 4-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Charlie V 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 My Little Connor 2-1 5th
Super Add: #6 An Heir of Magic 9-5 3rd
<$75 P4 Play:
4: 2-4-9
5: 1-2-3-5-6-7-9-11
6: 3-5-8
7: 4-5
3x8x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 .50 Pick 4 (4-1-8-4) Paid $243.15
8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #3 Son of a Chief 3-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Checksandbalances 6-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Essence of Speed 3-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Ksar Ghilane 5-2 3rd
9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #5 Autry 3-1 WON
Best Value: #1 Captain Bayne 12-1 7th
Next Best: #8 All West 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Matching Whites 5-1 6th
10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #7 Blue Whistler 7-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Tar Beach 6-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Miro 5-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Zion 5-1 3rd
11th: MSW, 3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)
Most Likely: #12 Capt Obvious 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Begriff 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Baku Breeze 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 John Kelly 9-2 WON
High 5 Play: #1 Option 8-1 9th
<$75 P6 Play:
6: 8
7: 3-4-5-6
8: 3-4
9: 1-5-8
10: 3-7
11: 6-12
1x4x2x3x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192
<$75 P4 Play:
8: 2-3-4-5-7
9: 1-5-8
10: 2-3-5-6-7
11: 6-12
5x3x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75
PRAIRIE MEADOWS
PRE-SCRATCHES
7th: 16th Saylorville, F&M-3+, 6f (.50 P4, P3, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Lady Chace 4-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Miranda Diane 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Sly Storm 6-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Adhsilver 8-1 5th
8th: 11th Iowa Oaks (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, Super)
Best Value: #5 Peach Brew 5-1 3rd
Most Likely: #2 Sweet Relish 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Hooh Why 3-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Hightap 4-1 WON
9th: 11th Iowa Derby, 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)
Best Value: #6 MOONPORT 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #7 Duke of Mischief 10-1 WON
Next Best: #9 His Greatness 5-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Proceed Bee 9-2 5th
10th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-70y
Most Likely: #5 Karl's Speed Demon 5-2 6th
Best Value: #4 Service Hawk 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #1e Richard entry 2-1 2nd/4th
<$50 P4 Play:
7: 2-4-8
8: 2-4-5-7
9: 6-7
10: 1-4-5
3x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
Good luck!
Steve
__________________
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Last edited by Kasept : 06-26-2009 at 10:51 PM.
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