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Originally Posted by cowgirlintexas
I am always leery when tossing out his horses myself.
My biggest win came with Charismatic and only played him because it was DWL trained.
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I'm not saying you can totally toss his horses in the Belmont today. The Belmont has a history of upsets. I'm expecting some type of upset today. Mine That Bird just had two hard races. He's not a very big horse. In addition, he appears to be most effective when coming from way out of it. He's not going to get much pace today. I would be surprised if he didn't regress today.
DWL's horses probably wouldn't be my top picks in this race, but I would give them a shot. That being said, I think the angle of betting DWL's horses in these big races is not a smart move. I know he's had some big longshots that have won in the past (in the 1990s) like Thunder Gulch and Charismatic. But overall, betting him in these big races is a huge losing proposition over the last few years. The numbers speak for themselves. You can't do worse than 0 for 54.