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Originally Posted by dean smith
Could a more experienced player please explain to me why #3 Stormy Success would be 30/1 on the ML? It spooks me to the point that I feel if I use him I'm playing into some kind of sucker scenario. (Looking at Brisnet PPs) He's got a 100 speed fig. last out (1 1/16 sf turf, Kingston 100K), 2nd in the Prime Power ratings, and poor turf jockey and trainer notwithstanding, he finished just 2 lengths behind today's ML fav, Groomed for Victory (3/1) the last time they hooked up (off turf in slop).
Any thoughts?
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This is a good example of discrepancies between DRF and Bris pps, much of which is due to a big difference in speed figs at this level. The Bris speed figs would show little difference in these 2nd level N.Y. state-breds and the figs they give to the Breeders Cup Turf entries. The Beyers show greater disparity at this relatively low level
Of course, Stormy Success could have finally turned the corner at age 5, 2 out of his last three were good and led to high Brisnet figures
Figures aside, that was a 3rd place showing in a $100+k stakes last out. Brisnet will tell you his current class is also tops in the field