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Originally Posted by Kasept
Was sending a number of Derby threads to the Triple Crown Archive this miorning and re-visited this one. Thought this evolved into a pretty interesting conversation on the Derby odds board... With Mine That Bird more than validating himself in Baltimore, thought this deserved a second read/life.
Is it now a maxim that Derby prices are unplayable as fair value win bets? Not that they weren't before, but looking back, it seems Derby exotics are the only worthwhile approach.
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steve - i don't know about that MM at 22/1 in the derby offered some value no? he was coming off 2 wins and with IWR and QR and many on here thinking that POTN was no good i thought he odds were playable in the race.
to me general qtrs , a horse who he beat twice i believe before ky was 8/1 - based on nbc and espn hyping the mccarthy angle to me i thought that was a great bet against , i would let him beat me at 8 or 9 /1 all day