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Originally Posted by Sightseek
Any tips/thoughts on determining when to bet a horse running his first race off a layoff or deciding that its "going to need one"?
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Check a trainers ITM% on layoff horses. You'd be surprised how many trainers win like 10% with layoff horses but are in the money 52% usually at good prices since everybody knows who the high % guys are. You can get some live longshots especially if the horse was off form before the layoff.