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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
9/2 on I Want Revenge and 7/1 on Quality Road both look like gifts.
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Agree- I highly doubt either go off at those prices in 11 days. I guess they're offering a point for time value.
I think IWR goes off at 7/2 or 4/1 (right around $10.00) and QR goes off at 5/1 or 11/2.
I could see Regal Ransom at under 40-1 on the tote as well.
For sake of argument, here's what I see it at a 16% takeout (with the top 20 in earnings expected to go):
Horse odds
I Want Revenge 3.70
Quality Road 5.40
Pioneerof the Nile 7.50
Dunkirk 8.40
Friesan Fire 10.90
General Quarters 16.90
Papa Clem 18.60
Square Eddie 19.40
Regal Ransom 22.00
Desert Party 22.00
Musket Man 23.70
Hold Me Back 27.10
Chocolate Candy 27.90
West Side Bernie 29.60
Win Willy 33.90
Advice 42.40
Mr. Hot Stuff 63.70
Summer Bird 63.70
Mine That Bird 67.90
Flying Private 67.90