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Originally Posted by Riot
At Keeneland, the lack of favorites winning is due more, IMO, to the variety of horses (especially young horses) shipping in from all over (mixing of populations that have never run against each other before).
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Saratoga has a lot of that ... and yet favorites still win at a solid 106-for-254 (42%) clip in dirt stake races this decade. They are 38-for-105 in turf graded stakes this decade.
On Keeneland's synthetic track - favorites have gone a mind-bogglingly dismal 6-for-54 in stake races.
Street Sense losing to Domincan in a near five way photo is an example of some of the goofy results.