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Originally Posted by King Glorious
And as I said to Andy's post, if you are talking about chances relative to odds, I can understand where you are coming from and give it more credence. But what I don't understand is why it's safe to assume that a horse that had a bad trip will get a better one next time but bad to assume that one that had a good trip will get another one next time.
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I would say that it has something to do with the number of horses who receive bad trips per race vs. the amount who don't. There are generally very few legitimately "bad trip" horses in a given race or on a given card.
NT