3/14: AQU; GP; TAM; Magna 5; FG; Rebel; SA
Simply put, I can't recall a day developing and unfolding with such widespread invitation to wagering action... Plan carefully and budget wisely. It will be a special day for many players. Don't get down if things go against you early. There's too many great chances to win Saturday to lose focus.
AQUEDUCT
5th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 Won Great Classic 9-5 WON
Best Value: #2 Temore 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1e Baker entry 10-1 6th
6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-70y (G/S, P3, DD)
Best Value: #2 Herald Square 12-1 4th
Most Likely: #3 Bebob 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Greenspirit 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #1 Alexandros 12-1 2nd
7th: NYB-MSW, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #6 Pocket Cowboys 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Big Gavel 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Titletown Tiger 6-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Brock N Roll 20-1 6th
8th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #11 Miller's Mint 4-1 WON
Best Value: #6 B D's Phoenix 8-1 7th
Next Best: #2 SCR
Super Add: #3 Honour Above Self 10-1 3rd
9th: 17th Cicada (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 6f (DD)
Best Value: #5 Love That Dance 5-1 6th
Most Likely: #1 Dream Play 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #2 Daily Star 10-1 4th
10th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)
Most Likely: #8 Federal Deposit 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #11 Flo's Honor 7-2 7th
Best Value: #2 Clonen 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Tony the Terio 6-1 6th
<$200 P6 Play:
5: 2-3
6: 1-2-3-7
7: 2-6
8: 6-11
9: 1-2-5
10: 8
2x4x2x2x3x1 = 96 x $2 = $192
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 2-6
8: 2-3-6-11
9: 1-2-5
10: 2-8-11
3x4x3x2 = $72
GULFSTREAM
POST-SCRATCHES
8th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 7f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Greatbillsoffire 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Book Says Yes 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Trusting Heart 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Jersey Town 10-1 WON
9th: Palm Beach (Gr. III), 3yo, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Stormallory 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 El Crespo 6-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Duke of Homberg 2-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Lime Rickey 4-1 2nd
10th: Gulfstream Park H. (Gr. II), 4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #6 Smooth Air 3-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Cool Coal Man 2-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Finallymadeit 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Bribon 5-2 4th
11th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)
Crazy deep nightcap and note that virtually ANY AND ALL of the AE's would be useable should they drew in..
Most Likely: #8 Chapin Beach 5-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Dr. Smarty Jack 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Reb 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Tizzy 7-2 7th
<$100 P4 Play:
8: 2-3-4-8
9: 2-4-5-7
10: 1-4-5-6 $1 P3 Paid $363.10
11: 2-5-8
4x4x4x3 = 192 x .50 = $96
MAGNA 5
POST-SCRATCHES
A) LRL 9th: The Conniver, F&M-3+, 7f
Most Likely: #6 Puskita 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Met a Miner 7-2 7th
Best Value: #9 My Little Pretty 20-1 4th
Super Add: #5 All Giving 3-1 2nd
B) SA 4th: 72nd San Felipe (Gr. II), 3yo, 8.5f
Note that Racing Sec. Rick Hammerle believes Kelly Leak is DOUBTFUL and Feisty Suances 2nd is a POSSIBLE SCRATCH..
Most Likely: #2 Pioneerof the Nile 2-5 WON
Best Value: #7 New Bay 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Shafted 8-1 5th
C) GP 9th: Palm Beach (Gr. III), 3yo, 9f-T
Most Likely: #2 Stormallory 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 El Crespo 6-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Duke of Homberg 2-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Lime Rickey 4-1 2nd
D) GG 4th: MSW, 3yo, 6f
Most Likely: #3 Undeniable Truth 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Kalookan Ghost 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Kings Humor 5-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Carbonite 9-2 WON
E) SA 5th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-DHT
Most Likely: #12 Billy Allen 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Prince Atlantis 15-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Kewen 9-2 4th
Super Add: #10 Street Lights 6-1 12th
<$300/<$150/<$75 Magna 5 Plays:
A: 4-5-6-9
B: 2
C: 2-7 [4-5]
D: 3-5 [1-6]
E: 4-9-10-12
4x1x4x4x4 = $284
4x1x2x4x4 = $128
4x1x2x2x4 = $64
TAMPA BAY DOWNS
POST-SCRATCHES
9th: 26th Florida Oaks (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Rock Candy 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Don't Forget Gil 9-5 WON
Exotics Use: #4 Ameribelle 3-1 2nd
10th: 11th Hillsborough (Gr. III), F&M-4+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #7 Backseat Rhythm 3-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Mushka 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Ballymore Lady 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Communique 4-1 10th
11th: 29th Tampa Bay Derby (Gr. III), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #2 Musket Man 8-1 WON
Most Likely: #4 Hello Broadway 3-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Warrior's Reward 12-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Bear's Rocket 8-1 6th
12th: 5th Turf Dash, 3+, 5f-T (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #6 Chamberlain Bridge 2-1 9th
Best Value: #4 Blind River Fox 15-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Fort Prado 5-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Castles in the Sky 6-1 WON
<$75 P4 Play:
9: 2-3-6
10: 3-6-7
11: 2-4
12: 2-3-4-6
3x3x2x4 = $72 $1 P4 (3/6-7/9-2-3) Paid $430.10 (x 2 = $860.20)
FAIR GROUNDS
POST-SCRATCHES
Note that rain appears impossible to avoid in New Orleans today with Sloppy/Yielding reported now..
5th: Bienville, F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (.50 P5, P3, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Classify 5-2 4th
Best Value: #9 Coy Cat 8-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Lady Chace 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Taletobetold 4-1 5th
6th: FG Oaks (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 8.5f (.50 P4, P3, Super)
Most Likely: #3 RACHEL ALEXANDRA 4-5 WON
Next Best: #2 Four Gifts 5-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Flying Spur 12-12nd
Super Add: #1 Our Dahlia 10-1 3rd
7th: New Orleans H. (Gr. II), 4+, 9f (P6, P3, Super)
Most Likely: #10 Honest Man 3-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Secret Getaway 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Dry Martini 6-1 4th
Super Add: Good and Lucky 8-1 11th
8th: Muniz Memorial H. (Gr. II), 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)
NOTE: #13 Proudinsky (3-1) and the #1 Frostad entry (6-1) won't appreciate softer footing...
Most Likely: #6 Soldier's Dancer 7-2 4th
Best Value: #10 Nownownow 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Corrupt 10-1 14th
Exotics Use: #4 Golden Yank 10-1 9th
Super Add: #9 El Caballo 20-1 2nd
9th: Louisiana Derby (Gr. II), 3yo, 8.5f (.50 P4, P3, Superfecta)
Will protect favorites in the multi-race wagers but go against within the race; Grab the overlay of your choice..
Best Value: #1 Free Country 12-1 9th
Most Likely: #5 Flying Pegasus 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Terrain 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Uno Mas 12-1 7th
<$100 .50 P5 Play/<$50 P4 Play:
5: 4-5-7-9
----------
6: 3
7: 2-3-10
8: 4-6-10 (8-9-12)
9: 1-3-5-6-9
P5: 4x1x3x3x5 = 190 x .50 = $95
P4: 1x3x6x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
10th: Kenner, 3+, 6f (P3, Super)
Most Likely: #1 Kodiak Kowboy 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Sok Sok 9-2 WON
Next Best: #2 Ikigai 7-2 8th
Super Add: #3 Greeley's Conquest 6-1 6th
11th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-OFF THE TURF (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #3 SCR
Next Best: #6 SCR
Best Value: #10 Budget 8-1
Super Add: #1 SCR
OFF THE TURF: 13-14-10/WON
12th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (Super)
Most Likely: #5 SCR
Best Value: #6 SCR
Next Best: #8 Pacific Tsunami 9-2
Super Add: #11 Proteus 12-1
OFF THE TURF: 13/WON-8-3-9
<$75 P4 Play:
9: 1-3-5-6-9
10: 1-7
11: 1/SCR-3/SCR-6/SCR-9-10
12: 5/SCR-6/SCR-8
5x2x5x3 = 150 x .5- = $75
<$75 P4 Play (With R11-12 OFF THE TURF Selections ):
9: 1-3-5-6-9
10: 1-7
11: 10-13-14
12: 3-8-9-13
5x2x3x4 = 120 x .50 = $60 $1 P4 Paid $410.10
OAKLAWN PARK
PRE-SCRATCHES
10th: 49th Rebel (Gr. II), 3yo, 8.5f
Most Likely: #1 Old Fashioned 3-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 His Greatness 12-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Captain Cherokee 8-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Hamazing Destiny 5-1 8th
SANTA ANITA
PRE-SCRATCHES
5th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-DHT (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #12 Billy Allen 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Prince Atlantis 15-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Kewen 9-2 4th
Super Add: #10 Street Lights 6-1 12th
6th: CLM, 4yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Deep Pockets 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Quityerbellyaching 10-1 5th
Next Best: #6 High Intellect 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Roar of Eagles 9-2 4th
7th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f-DHT (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Market at Midday 5-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Favoloso 8-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Silent Stalk 7-2 WON
Super Add: #5 Magic Roberta 9-2 2nd
8th: 72nd Santa Margarita (Gr. I), F&M-4+, 9f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #2 Life is Sweet 7-5 WON
Best Value: #7 Model 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Santa Terasita 7-2 2nd
9th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-T (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #5 Wild Diplomat 9-2 WON
Best Value: #3 Pearl Fisher 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Cavanal 6-1 11th
Super Add: #7 Trumpet Player Jay 7-2 6th
10th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 5.5f (Super High 5)
Most Likely: #9 So Pink 7-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Misstrailcityzone 12-1
Next Best: #2 I Swear 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Ivy by the Shore 5-2 2nd
High 5 Play: #1 Telatrish 8-1
<$200 P6 Play:
5: 3-4-9-10-12
6: 1-2-4-6-8
7: 4
8: 2
9: 5-9
10: 5-9
5x5x1x1x2x2 = 100 x $2. = $200
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 2-3-4
8: 2-6-7
9: 3-5-7-9
10: 5-9
3x3x4x2 = $72 $1 P4 Paid $152.20
Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Last edited by Kasept : 03-15-2009 at 07:49 AM.
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