Thread: Morning Line
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  #24  
Old 01-24-2009, 07:01 PM
dean smith's Avatar
dean smith dean smith is offline
Ellis Park
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Luckey, Ohio
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Once again, I'm not trying to ruffle anyone's feathers...

But what point are you trying to make about GG #3?

Yeah, chances were the 8/1 ML on #6 was going to go down since it's a seven horse field (two being coupled) with a scratch (leaving five betting choices)! And as I said earlier, the 6/5 ML fav did go lower (3/5 w/ Baze aboard -- no surprise there). The second choice stayed at 5/2, and the third choice went to 6/1 (from 4/1). Your boy #6 was liked more than the other 8/1, who took the place of the longshot who scratched.

So... the morning line had the correct short-odds fav, was dead-on with the second choice at 5/2, and in the ballpark with the third choice. As for it being a bad line, I don't know. Your boy #6 finished fifth, a length and a half behind the other ML 8/1, who went to post with longer odds but finished fourth.

Seems like a pretty good line to me that pretty well reflected the public's opinion. I sense you getting frustrated with me, but tell me what I'm missing.
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