Agree it's hard to judge a horse that hasn't been further than a mile. fwiw, Pinnacle has High Finance at 9.6 to 1 (fixed odds, "must start"). Hard to say whether you could do better than that with track odds.
--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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